With the upcoming parliamentary elections, the political landscape of Bangladesh has become heated and is reaching a critical stage. Although it is still too early to predict which party will come to power, initial observations suggest that the BNP has a comparatively higher chance of forming the government. Historically, the BNP has been in power three times, while Jamaat has never directly governed, and its seat count has never significantly increased in any election. However, in the context of the current elections, Jamaat is making efforts to consolidate its position. Their student organizations are already active on university campuses, countering BNP-backed student groups. Consequently, public perception suggests that even if Jamaat does not directly come to power, their number of seats may increase compared to previous elections. The party is known for being well-organized and disciplined, with clearly defined policies and internal rules.

As part of their early election preparations, Jamaat is sending nominated candidates to engage directly with voters at the grassroots level. Although there may be differences of opinion among party leaders, these disputes have not surfaced publicly. Instead, they are striving to ensure the victory of their candidates through consensus and a unified campaign. In this regard, Jamaat’s internal situation appears far more controlled and stable compared to that of the BNP.

In contrast, the situation within the BNP is far from satisfactory. After announcing the names of candidates for 237 constituencies, incidents of unrest, clashes, arson, processions, and counter-processions have been reported across the country. Open conflicts among party leaders and activists are evident, with some even leaving the party to join other political forces. This disorder has the potential to severely affect the party’s organizational strength and unified campaign efforts. Political analysts suggest that if BNP fails to resolve these internal issues, it could negatively impact the election results.

Currently, the BNP still retains considerable strength and popularity, but internal instability and complications in the nomination process pose significant challenges. Meanwhile, Jamaat is gradually consolidating its position and creating a positive image among voters, particularly through its student wings and local committees, aiming to establish a strong presence in the electoral field.

In summary, while the BNP appears more likely to come to power, its internal conflicts and nomination disputes present significant obstacles. Conversely, Jamaat, which has no prior experience of directly governing, could increase its seat count in this election. However, it is unlikely that the party will come to power directly. Each party is employing its own strategies and campaign methods. According to political analysts, internal discipline, electoral strategy, and the ability to influence voters will be the key determinants of this election. Therefore, it is crucial for party leaders to reduce internal instability and run a unified campaign, which could have a decisive impact on election outcomes.